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Outline a sentencing memo that asks for a number
Builds a § 3553(a)-organized sentencing memo outline that leads with the person, concedes the offense honestly, and anchors the court to one specific sentence with named variance grounds.
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I. Introduction. Carlos Reyes is a husband, the father of a ten-year-old and a seven-year-old, and for eleven years a machinist at Northrop who was promoted to lead in 2021. Over fourteen months he submitted false invoices to that employer totaling $187,400. He repaid $147,400 before he was indicted, pleaded guilty three weeks after arraignment, and has been in weekly trauma therapy since February 2024. The defense requests twelve months and one day, three years of supervised release, restitution of the $40,000 balance, and 200 hours of community service.
III. The Offense. No minimization. Mr. Reyes created seventeen invoices from a vendor shell he controlled, approved them himself under the authority the promotion gave him, and did it for fourteen months. He does not contest the loss figure in PSR ¶¶ 22–29. The breach of trust described in ¶ 31 is accurate.
V.F. § 3553(a)(6): unwarranted disparities.
- JSIN, §2B1.1, loss band $150,000-$250,000, CHC I, FY2022-FY2024, W.D. Wash.: median custodial sentence 14 months; 31% received non-custodial sentences. [UNVERIFIED - re-run the query and screenshot the parameters before filing.]
- *United States v. Phan*, No. 2:22-cr-00187 (W.D. Wash. 2023) (Lasnik, J.): $214,000 loss, no priors, 12 months. Closest comparator; same judge.
- *United States v. Whitfield*, No. 2:23-cr-00094 (W.D. Wash. 2024) (Pechman, J.): $158,000 loss, 6 months. Cite with the distinction stated: Whitfield cooperated, Reyes did not. Do not let the government draw it first.
VI. Variance grounds.
1. Aberrational conduct with a documented onset. First false invoice December 1, 2023: twenty-seven days after Miguel Reyes died, three days after Mr. Reyes cleared out his brother's apartment. Dr. Estrada's evaluation (Ex. C) ties the PTSD onset to that date.
2. Pre-indictment repayment of 79% of the loss, from his brother's life insurance proceeds. Ex. E, with the wire confirmations.
3. Family circumstances: sole earner; school counselor letter on both children (Ex. F).
Exhibit index (each exhibit, one ground). A: wife, ground 3. B: supervisor 2014–2020, character (§ 3553(a)(1)). C: Dr. Estrada evaluation, ground 1. E: repayment records, ground 2. F: school counselor, ground 3. *Dropped:* the four soccer-parent letters say the same thing four times; keep one, attach the rest only if the court asks.
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Assumptions I made. Federal § 3553(a) governs and the Guidelines are advisory [safe - W.D. Wash.]. The calculation you gave me is the one the final PSR will carry: Level 16, CHC I, 21–27 months, three-level acceptance reduction intact [verify - probation has not signed off, and a loss-amount objection moves the range]. Restitution owing is $40,000, the $187,400 loss less the $147,400 repaid [safe - arithmetic from your inputs]. Dr. Estrada's evaluation comes in at sentencing without a reliability fight [verify]. No mandatory minimum and no § 5K1.1 motion [safe - you said so].
Where this is weakest. Ground 1 is the exposed one. The scheme ran fourteen months and continued well past the acute grief window the Estrada report describes; the government will argue that a bereavement theory explains December but not the following November. Consider narrowing the claim to onset rather than duration. Second exposure: the JSIN figures in V.F. carry an [UNVERIFIED] tag into a filing, and a disparity section the government can check and you cannot costs more than it earns.
What only you can decide. Two calls. The number. Twelve months and a day sits below the JSIN median of fourteen and earns good-conduct credit that a flat twelve does not. It anchors the court low, and if probation recommends twenty-one months the gap hands the AUSA a free line about an unserious request. Fifteen months concedes the anchor and buys credibility you can spend on the restitution schedule and the supervision conditions instead. The record. File the Estrada evaluation and the school counselor's letter on the public docket, where the judge reads them in open court and they do the most work, or move to seal, which keeps a PTSD diagnosis and two children's names off a public docket and costs the material its force at the hearing. That is a family decision as much as a legal one, and it is not mine to make.
What would make this materially better. Ranked by impact: (1) The final PSR with probation's recommendation: the entire ask is calibrated against a number I do not have. (2) A JSIN pull you have run yourself with the parameters screenshotted, so V.F. goes in clean. (3) Judge Lasnik's variance record in §2B1.1 cases, if the federal defender's office tracks it. (4) The government's sentencing position, if the AUSA will give it to you before the filing date.
Why this prompt is built the way it is
## Framework
1. **The person first, the offense second.** Section one is who this defendant is: scenes with names and dates, not adjectives. A paragraph that could describe anyone gets cut.
2. **Concede before you argue.** The judge has read the PSR and the government's version. Accept what is proven, in the government's own terms, before asking for anything. Minimization costs more than it buys.
3. **Every factor by its number.** § 3553(a)(1) through (a)(7), each answered separately. Do not collapse (a)(2)(A)-(D) into one paragraph about "the seriousness of the offense."
4. **Disparity needs numbers.** Factor (a)(6) requires Commission JSIN data with the query parameters, district statistics, or named comparator cases with docket numbers and sentencing judges. A disparity argument without data is worse than no disparity argument.
5. **Route every letter to one ground.** Each support letter advances exactly one variance theory, gets quoted in one line, and appears in the exhibit index tagged to that theory. A letter that supports nothing comes out.
6. **State the Guidelines accurately, then explain the miss.** Give the calculation, then the specific respect in which this defendant sits outside what that guideline was built to measure.
7. **Ask for one number.** The same number in the introduction and the conclusion. Propose supervised-release conditions and a restitution schedule at the same level of specificity.
8. **Never make an argument the PSR refutes.** The government will quote it back.